NBA Bet of the Day | March 8, 2024
Mitch S
In this column, Mitch goes through the BEST BET he's seeing in the NBA today.
In this column, I’ll go through the BEST BET I’m seeing in the league today; this can be in a spread, a moneyline, an Over/Under, or a player prop.
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OVERALL RECORD: 178-119-3, +45.41
RECAP: Our heater continues, as we’ve gone 1-1 in our last two plays. There were almost 140 points scored in the first half of the Warrior game two nights ago, and we had under 228 - and the under STILL hit. The voodoo magic is out and about on this run of our NBA of the Day, as we’ve hit seven straight and we’re 14-3 in our last 17 NBA free plays. It’s all because of the Sharp App, baby! Let’s dive into another play this evening:
March 8th, 2024
Today, I am going to place a bet that I have no interest in placing, and that I hate from the bottom of the my heart. But this is why we don’t bet with our hearts, my friends; we bet on data and the ways that data projects winners. And tonight, it’s projected that the Atlanta Hawks are going to cover a game in the National Basketball League.
The Hawks head to Memphis to take on the Grizzlies, who have been covering machines as of late, covering 70% of their last ten games. The Hawks are the worst ATS team in the league, but have progressed to covering 50% of their games over their last ten, and the Sharp App Money Handles tool is the one driving this pick, per usual.
When we use the Sharp App Money Handles tool, we’re looking for less than 40% of the bets placed on a game, and over 60% of the money handle on that side as well. This morning we have a crazy percentage that fits this. Currently as of this morning, we’re seeing only 20% of the bets on the Atlanta Hawks, while 81% of the money handle is on Atlanta. We follow the money here at NBA of the Day, giving Atlanta a 61% difference on this game.
It’s also evident within the Sharp Report, too, as Memphis +3 is in both the book liabilities and the public bets, two sides that we love to fade in the NBA. And while the Hawks are bad at covering ATS, we really need to dive into Memphis’ record at home, because it’s one of the worst in the league.
The Grizzlies only cover 38% of games at home this season, but are dominant on the road against the spread. That means that the home team has trouble at home, and that means good news for us, in an Atlanta side that has actually been okay at covering on the road this season.
Atlanta boasts the 8th-best offense in the league on the road, while the Grizzlies are literally the worst team in the league at home, averaging only 103 points per game at home this season. This is a must-play for me, as we’re going to hit the Atlanta Hawks at a line of -2.5. Win by three, and we get the win; but I like the -3 as well.
PICK: Atlanta Hawks -2.5
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