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NBA Bet of the Day | March 3, 2024

Mitch S
In this column, Mitch goes through the BEST BET he's seeing in the NBA today.

In this column, I’ll go through the BEST BET I’m seeing in the league today; this can be in a spread, a moneyline, an Over/Under, or a player prop.

If you have any questions, hit me up in the Discord, linked below, and be sure to add a PRO SUBSCRIPTION to your daily routine to maximize your best bets, no matter the sport. 

OVERALL RECORD: 170-117-3, +40.21
RECAP: Yesterday looked like it was going to be a glorious day in the NBA streets, until we absolutely got shafted in the night slate. The Nets took care of business at home during the day yesterday to give us ANOTHER NBA of the Day victory, as we’re now 11-3 in our last fourteen FREEBIES. That’s an immaculate run, and we’re going to look to continue it today. 

 
March 3rd, 2024

Every year, we go about the Boston Celtics in the same way; we talk about how awesome they are, how they look like the best team in the league, and then eventually they’ll collapse in a round of the playoffs. “But this year is different!”, people will say – we’ll see about that. And today, they’re hosting the red-hot Warriors, who are coming off of a great road win against the Raptors. Now, they head to Boston with aspirations to upset, even if Steph Curry doesn’t play. 

As of right now on our Money Handles tool, we’re seeing one of the biggest differences that we’ve ever seen on the Sharp App. Currently, the under in this game holds 35% of the betting handle, but get this; it owns 99% OF THE TOTAL MONEY PERCENTAGE ON THE GAME! That’s a crazy 64% on the under in this game, and we’ve seen the line move in this direction all day. 

And it comes with the trends, too. For some reason, when the Celtics are on one day’s rest, the under is hitting 60% of the time; while most of the Celtics games go over, this is like, the one scenario where the under is actually very profitable. 

Once again with the Warriors, as the away team, the under is hitting at a profitable margin of 37%, although as an underdog the Warriors hit the over much more than the under. It will all depend on who dictates the flow of the game; if the Celtics control the flow on their home turf, then I think that the under will be very profitable for us. 

Between the last ten matchups between these two teams, the under is hitting 70% of the time; and the Celtics are currently on one of the greatest defensive runs of their season, allowing only 101 points per game to the opposition in their last five games. The Warriors, on the other hand, have only been scoring 110 per game, so expect that total to drop. But, the Dubs’ defense has been especially inspiring over their last five, ranking sixth in the league in points per game allowed. These are two top-six defenses right now squaring off, and it is shaping up to be a defensive battle. 

Let’s take the under, no matter if Steph plays or not. We already know that the Celtics will be without a seven-footer on offense, and hopefully these defenses can keep each other in check. 

PICK: Golden State / Boston under 230

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