Anthony P's NBA Model November 29, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR NOV 29, 2022

Yesterday I backed both picks that we received in this article and we went 2-0. It was a walk in the park for the Wizards while it was a little more difficult for the Suns.

We have an interesting spot in Dallas at home and the Clippers on the road. More analysis to follow.

With Leonard still out and Wall getting some extra rest tonight, I don't agree with the model's value on the Clippers tonight. The Clippers dominated the Pacers last game while Portland was in this game in Brooklyn up to the last 5 minutes when it all went downhill for them. They have now lost 5 of the last 6 games. The Clippers have the second d best aDRTG and they are hard to score on. I also expect a slow-paced game tonight. With Leonard, George, and Wall out, the defensive side of the game will have to regress and their offense will not compensate. I don't like the value on the Clippers tonight.

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