Anthony P's NBA Model March 29, 2023

We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.


I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.
Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR MAR 29, 2023

Ladies and gentlemen, step right up and witness the NBA's very own circus tonight, where the show features sharp money, missing starters, and a whole lot of uncertainty! Let's take a closer look at this wild ride that'll have sports bettors clutching their tickets in suspense.

First up, the Spurs and Jazz perform a disappearing act, with 7 to 8 starters vanishing from the lineup! The sharp money sides with the Spurs, but really, who knows what to expect in this talent-starved game? We'll take a hard pass and move on to the next attraction.

In the land of the Chicago Bulls, Caruso and Green are walking a tightrope of questionable status, leaving bettors holding their breath. The model favors the Bulls at -4 without Russell, but with his expected return and Davis in the mix, the Lakers' line opened at -1.5 and has now climbed to -2.5. However, LeBron James might just be playing hide-and-seek, as his status remains in the air.

Let's take a trip to Indiana, where things are getting messier than a clown car pile-up. The model line is expected to hit -10 if Giannis plays and Haliburton, Turner, and Hield sit out. But wait, there's more! If Middleton joins the fray, the line jumps to -12, aligning with the current -11.5.

Finally, in the mysterious world of the Mavericks vs. 76ers, our model leans towards the under, but with Embiid and Harden's status as questionable as a juggler's balance, accurate projections are a near impossibility.

Fear not, fellow bettors! I'll share updates from the beat writers and my sportsbook insider buddy in my Discord channel.


Good luck, and happy betting!


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