Anthony P's NBA Model March 18, 2023

We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR MAR 18, 2023

My current level of interest in the NBA is extremely low and will stay like that until the playoffs.

Nonetheless, we have some value on the Knicks today and I have this feeling of a trap game. Brunson missed 3 games and based on the line he's not playing. He's questionable for tonight and if he plays we definitely bet on the Knicks. I wrote about the Nuggets this week before facing the Pistons. This team is not playing well and should have a tough time in NY but again, we want Brunson to play.

The Pistons leveled with the Nuggets all game and up in the 4th quarter when the Pistons just gave up and game smashed by 19 pts.

The Knicks are tough at home after a slow start and have been hot in the last 30-45 days!

If Brunson plays, smash the Knicks

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