Anthony P's NBA Model January 8, 2023

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR JAN 8, 2023

The NBA model only had one value play yesterday and was on the Bulls. They won.

Today the model is showing value on the under in Los Angeles. The Hawks don't play defense and the Clippers will be missing George. The Hawks allow close to 120 pts against per game on the road this year and score close to the same. On a smaller sample size, the Clippers have allowed over 122 pts per game in 3 of their last 4 while the Hawks have allowed over 130 pts in 3 of their last 4. It's tough to support the under in this game the way these defenses have been playing as of late. My model has this game at 222 while it opened at 232.5 and is currently at 234.

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