Anthony P's NBA Model January 7, 2023

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR JAN 7, 2023

We only have one value play today and it's on the Bulls. They traveled back overnight after dominating the 76ers on the road. The Bulls shot 56% from the field and took advantage of Embiid's absence.

The Bulls are 3-4 on no rest and there is always that concern about players being rested. The Bulls opened at -3 and are now +1.5 therefore the markets know better than the beat writers.

Ill sit this one out... for now....

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