Anthony P's NBA Model December 29, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR DEC 28, 2022

The Thunders and the under are the best value plays tonight as per my model. Charlotte just got back from a road trip and that is a fade spot for me. Both teams are top 10 in pace and just because of that I am not crazy about the under. Charlotte has a net rating of -6.3 and before last in the league. OKC is at -0.9 and this line should be closer to -3 for them if Oubre Jr is out hence the value on OKC.

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