Anthony P's NBA Model December 26, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR DEC 26, 2022

I basically wasn't allowed to use my phone and computer yesterday however I was allowed to watch TV. I ended up only watching the Knicks game. I wanted to put in an in-game bet but really didn't find a good spot in the first half.

My model likes the under in Charlotte's game and that's always a scary proposition. I have the game projected at 228 while the total is 240 hence the +12% EV. My model also likes the Pacers. The EV isn't that high however, based on my model, the Pels are inflated by 3.5 pts.

In terms is the AI, based on the 9:30 AM update, it likes the Pacers and Minnesota.

We must keep an eye on the injury report in the Pacers game since Smith and Nesmith are questionable. As for the Pels, Zion is probably while Nance Jr is questionable. The Pacers just won 2 impressive games in Miami and Boston and continue to surprise many. The Pels haven't been shooting the ball well and barely surpassed 43% last game and averaged 45% last 3 games. Some reports state that Zion won't play, and if that's the case I am ready to support the Pacers. The Pacers are much better than OKC and SA, have been covering well, and also seem to find a way to get those big shots.

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