Washington Nationals vs Houston Astros Matchup Preview - June 15th, 2023
The Washington Nationals enter the game as the 30th ranked team per The Sharp Model X's Power Rankings and will battle the 6th ranked Astros at Minute Maid Park. The Nationals may need to kick their bullpen into gear to maximize their win chances today, as it ranks just 30th in MLB according to The Sharp Model. When the Astros have found success this year, it's been through their bullpen, which ranks 7th in baseball according to The Sharp Model.
Washington Nationals Insights
The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 13th-worst on the slate.
Extreme flyball hitters like Luis Garcia usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristian Javier.
The Washington Nationals bullpen grades out as the worst in the majors, via The Sharp Model.
Houston Astros Insights
Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Cristian Javier (45.5% GB% according to The Sharp Model projections) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in Washington's projected offense.
Jake Meyers will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.
Jose Abreu hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.
Betting Trends
The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 61 games (+12.80 Units / 14% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.20 Units / 24% ROI)
Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+4.95 Units / 17% ROI)