Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves Matchup Preview - September 19th, 2022

Editor

The Washington Nationals enter the game as the 21st ranked team per THE BAT X's Power Rankings and will battle the 2nd ranked Braves at Truist Park. The Nationals may need to kick their bullpen into gear to maximize their win chances today, as it ranks just 29th in MLB according to THE BAT. When the Braves have found success this year, it's been through their power. They rank 2nd in baseball in home runs.

Washington Nationals Insights

  • The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 3rd-best of all teams today.

  • Extreme groundball batters like Luis Garcia tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Wright.

  • The Washington Nationals bullpen projects as the worst in the game, per THE BAT.

Atlanta Braves Insights

  • Given that groundball pitchers perform best against groundball hitters, Kyle Wright (49.8% GB% via THE BAT projections) is well-situated in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in the opposition's projected offense.

  • Robbie Grossman has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (57% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

  • William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 69 games at home (+14.02 Units / 16% ROI)

  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 26 away games (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)

  • Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 39 of his last 55 games (+21.15 Units / 26% ROI)