Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins Matchup Preview - August 5th, 2022
Vladimir Guerrero Jr and the Blue Jays go head-to-head against Jose Miranda and the Twins today. Over the last 7 days, Vladimir Guerrero Jr has provided the bulk of the offense for Blue Jays. He's batted .381 with 5 runs, 4 RBIs, 1 home runs, and 3 stolen bases. Meanwhile, it's been Jose Miranda who has been hot for the Twins. Over the last week, he's batting .208 with 5 runs, 7 RBIs, 1 home runs, and 1 stolen bases.
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the worst of the day.
Cavan Biggio has been unlucky with his home runs this year; his 6.40 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit lower than his 19.70 Expected HR/600 (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
Toronto's 90.3-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season is one of the best in MLB: #1 overall.
Minnesota Twins Insights
Tyler Mahle has been given an above-average leash this year, throwing 10.8 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starter.
Nick Gordon has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.
Byron Buxton has a high pull rate on his flyballs (40.1% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences today.
Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 79 games (+6.90 Units / 7% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games (+17.90 Units / 30% ROI)
Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)