Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins Matchup Preview - August 5th, 2022


Vladimir Guerrero Jr and the Blue Jays go head-to-head against Jose Miranda and the Twins today. Over the last 7 days, Vladimir Guerrero Jr has provided the bulk of the offense for Blue Jays. He's batted .381 with 5 runs, 4 RBIs, 1 home runs, and 3 stolen bases. Meanwhile, it's been Jose Miranda who has been hot for the Twins. Over the last week, he's batting .208 with 5 runs, 7 RBIs, 1 home runs, and 1 stolen bases.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

  • The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the worst of the day.

  • Cavan Biggio has been unlucky with his home runs this year; his 6.40 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit lower than his 19.70 Expected HR/600 (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

  • Toronto's 90.3-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season is one of the best in MLB: #1 overall.

Minnesota Twins Insights

  • Tyler Mahle has been given an above-average leash this year, throwing 10.8 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starter.

  • Nick Gordon has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

  • Byron Buxton has a high pull rate on his flyballs (40.1% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 79 games (+6.90 Units / 7% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games (+17.90 Units / 30% ROI)

  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)