Sharp App: Sports Betting

Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Matchup Preview - August 21st, 2022

The Rangers are scheduled to start Kohei Arihara (0-1, 4.76 ERA) against Twins starting pitcher Joe Ryan (9-5, 3.92 ERA) on Sunday. Kohei Arihara suffered a loss in his last outing, as the Rangers lost to the Athletics 1-5. He pitched 5.2 innings allowing 3 earned runs with 8 hits. He also recorded 6 strikeouts with 3 walks. The last time Joe Ryan took the mound, he recorded a win as the Twins defeated the Royals 4-2. He finished with 5.1 IP, 6 K, 2 BB, while allowing 2 earned runs on 6 hits. Today, Arihara projects for 4.89 innings pitched with 2.9 ER, 5.8 hits, 2.9 strikeouts, and 1.5 walks, according to THE BAT. Meanwhile, THE BAT projects Ryan's average outcome to be 5.68 IP, 2.5 ER, 4.8 H, 5.8 strikeouts, and 1.4 walks.

Texas Rangers Insights

  • Kohei Arihara has a reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 6 opposite-handed hitters in this matchup.

  • Extreme groundball bats like Nathaniel Lowe tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Joe Ryan.

  • Leody Taveras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and faces MLB's 11th-deepest CF fences today.

Minnesota Twins Insights

  • Joe Ryan's 91.2 mph fastball velocity this year is in the 14th percentile among starting pitchers.

  • Jose Miranda has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

  • The Minnesota Twins projected batting order today (.307 projected wOBA according to THE BAT X) projects quite a bit worse than their .318 wOBA this year.

Betting Trends

  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 90 games (+12.40 Units / 12% ROI)

  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 50 games (+5.25 Units / 10% ROI)

  • Bubba Thompson has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.45 Units / 93% ROI)