Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees Matchup Preview - August 16th, 2022


Jeffrey Springs (99th ranked SP via THE BAT) is projected to take the mound for Rays as they battle the Yankees and Nestor Cortes (24th ranked SP) at Yankee Stadium. The quick scouting report on Springs: his main fastball is a four-seamer, which he uses 37.2% of the time. His primary out-pitch is a changeup (32.1%). Meanwhile, Cortes primarily throws a four-seamer fastball (42.0%) and his most-used secondary offering is his cut-fastball (32.2%). THE BAT X projects Springs for 2.6 earned runs and 4.9 strikeouts in this matchup. On the other side, Cortes is forecasted for 2.1 earned runs and 6.9 strikeouts.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

  • THE BAT X projects Jeffrey Springs to throw 85 pitches in this game (6th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

  • Yu Chang has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.3-mph figure.

  • Tampa Bay's 89-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season ranks among the best in MLB: #10 overall.

New York Yankees Insights

  • Nestor Cortes has gone to his cut-fastball 25.3% more often this year (32.2%) than he did last season (6.9%).

  • Gleyber Torres is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the strong outfield defense of Tampa Bay (#1-best of all teams on the slate today).

  • DJ LeMahieu has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (47.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+6.60 Units / 50% ROI)

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 42 away games (+5.45 Units / 12% ROI)

  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 12 away games (+8.20 Units / 67% ROI)