St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres Matchup Preview - September 21st, 2022

Editor

Miles Mikolas (109th ranked SP via THE BAT) is projected to take the mound for Cardinals as they battle the Padres and Blake Snell (41st ranked SP) at Petco Park. The quick scouting report on Mikolas: his main fastball is a four-seamer, which he uses 26.8% of the time. His primary out-pitch is a slider (25.6%). Meanwhile, Snell primarily throws a four-seamer fastball (55.3%) and his most-used secondary offering is his slider (24.1%). The Sharp Model X projects Mikolas for 2.9 earned runs and 4.4 strikeouts in this matchup. On the other side, Snell is forecasted for 2.3 earned runs and 7.6 strikeouts.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

  • Miles Mikolas has been lucky with his ERA this year; his 3.46 figure is quite a bit lower than his 4.06 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

  • Ben DeLuzio is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of San Diego (#2-best of all teams today).

  • Andrew Knizner has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will be challenged by the league's 6th-deepest RF fences today.

San Diego Padres Insights

  • The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best of all teams on the slate today.

  • Josh Bell has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (98% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

Betting Trends

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.15 Units / 35% ROI)

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 70 away games (+6.20 Units / 8% ROI)

  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 34 games at home (+14.70 Units / 21% ROI)