Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays Matchup Preview - October 8th, 2022


Seattle Mariners Insights

  • Robbie Ray's fastball velocity has decreased 1.8 mph this year (92.4 mph) below where it was last year (94.2 mph).

  • Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Toronto (#3-worst of all teams on the slate).

  • The Seattle Mariners bullpen profiles as the 2nd-best in Major League Baseball, per The Sharp Model.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

  • Kevin Gausman has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 5.1 more adjusted pitches-per-game than average.

  • Whit Merrifield has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (71% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

  • Bo Bichette has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and will be challenged by MLB's 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+11.90 Units / 25% ROI)

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+14.25 Units / 9% ROI)

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 36 games at home (+11.75 Units / 22% ROI)