Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Matchup Preview - October 11th, 2022
Seattle Mariners Insights
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Logan Gilbert has used his off-speed and breaking balls 6.2% more often this season (44.7%) than he did last season (38.5%).
J.P. Crawford has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
The Seattle Mariners bullpen projects as the 3rd-best in Major League Baseball, according to The Sharp Model.
Houston Astros Insights
Justin Verlander's 2424 rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 91st percentile among starting pitchers.
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Yordan Alvarez has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Chas McCormick has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and will be challenged by the game's 10th-deepest RF fences today.
The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 95 of their last 148 games (+31.00 Units / 16% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 58 away games (+15.95 Units / 21% ROI)
Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 30% ROI)