Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels Matchup Preview - August 17th, 2022


Right-hander George Kirby is expected to start today for Seattle, while right-hander Touki Toussaint gets the nod at home for Los Angeles. Kirby enters this contest with a 3.39 ERA, backed up by a 3.49 FIP (which is a better measure of the things a pitcher can control). Toussaint, meanwhile, has a 4.84 FIP underlying his 2.70 ERA. The last time George Kirby was on the bump, he recorded the win as the Mariners defeated the Rangers 6-2. He left allowing 2 earned runs and recording 5 strikeouts with 1 walk. Toussaint's last start was against the Athletics, when the Angels won 5-4. Over 5 innings pitched, he allowed 0 earned runs with 2 hits. He also recorded 6 strikeouts with 2 walks.

Seattle Mariners Insights

  • George Kirby has a large reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 6 opposite-handed bats today.

  • J.P. Crawford has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

  • The Seattle Mariners bullpen profiles as the best in Major League Baseball, via THE BAT.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

  • Touki Toussaint was firing on all cylinders in his last outing and allowed 0 ER.

  • The Seattle Mariners don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Jose Rojas is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game.

  • Kurt Suzuki has a high pull rate on his flyballs (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 10th-deepest LF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 52 games at home (+6.90 Units / 12% ROI)

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 53 games (+16.95 Units / 25% ROI)

  • Sam Haggerty has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+7.75 Units / 70% ROI)