San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Matchup Preview - June 8th, 2023
Right-hander Alex Cobb is expected to start today for San Francisco, while right-hander Chase Anderson gets the nod at home for Colorado. Cobb enters this contest with a 2.71 ERA, backed up by a 3.43 FIP (which is a better measure of the things a pitcher can control). Anderson, meanwhile, has a 4.75 FIP underlying his 1.69 ERA. The last time Alex Cobb was on the bump, he recorded the win as the Giants defeated the Orioles 4-0. He left allowing 0 earned runs and recording 7 strikeouts with 0 walks. Anderson's last start was against the Royals, when the Rockies won 7-2. Over 6 innings pitched, he allowed 2 earned runs with 4 hits. He also recorded 2 strikeouts with 1 walk.
San Francisco Giants Insights
Alex Cobb is an extreme groundball pitcher (55.7% GB% via The Sharp Model projections), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field — the #3 HR venue in Major League Baseball — in this matchup.
J.D. Davis's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 97.9-mph average last season has lowered to 95.8-mph.
The San Francisco Giants bullpen projects as the 4th-best in Major League Baseball, per The Sharp Model.
Colorado Rockies Insights
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Chase Anderson must realize this, because he has utilized his non-fastballs a lot since the start of last season: 58.3% of the time, checking in at the 77th percentile.
Extreme groundball bats like Brenton Doyle generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Alex Cobb.
The Sharp Model X projects Brenton Doyle in the 9th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 52 games (+5.25 Units / 8% ROI)