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San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Matchup Preview - June 8th, 2023


Right-hander Alex Cobb is expected to start today for San Francisco, while right-hander Chase Anderson gets the nod at home for Colorado. Cobb enters this contest with a 2.71 ERA, backed up by a 3.43 FIP (which is a better measure of the things a pitcher can control). Anderson, meanwhile, has a 4.75 FIP underlying his 1.69 ERA. The last time Alex Cobb was on the bump, he recorded the win as the Giants defeated the Orioles 4-0. He left allowing 0 earned runs and recording 7 strikeouts with 0 walks. Anderson's last start was against the Royals, when the Rockies won 7-2. Over 6 innings pitched, he allowed 2 earned runs with 4 hits. He also recorded 2 strikeouts with 1 walk.

San Francisco Giants Insights

  • Alex Cobb is an extreme groundball pitcher (55.7% GB% via The Sharp Model projections), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field — the #3 HR venue in Major League Baseball — in this matchup.

  • J.D. Davis's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 97.9-mph average last season has lowered to 95.8-mph.

  • The San Francisco Giants bullpen projects as the 4th-best in Major League Baseball, per The Sharp Model.

Colorado Rockies Insights

  • Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Chase Anderson must realize this, because he has utilized his non-fastballs a lot since the start of last season: 58.3% of the time, checking in at the 77th percentile.

  • Extreme groundball bats like Brenton Doyle generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Alex Cobb.

  • The Sharp Model X projects Brenton Doyle in the 9th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Betting Trends

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 52 games (+5.25 Units / 8% ROI)


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