San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Matchup Preview - October 8th, 2022

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San Diego Padres Insights

  • Blake Snell's 2428 rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 92nd percentile among starting pitchers.

  • Brandon Drury has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (91% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

  • The San Diego Padres projected offense ranks as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate.

New York Mets Insights

  • Jacob deGrom has averaged 17.5 outs per outing this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

  • Mark Canha's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 91.8-mph average last season has decreased to 89.3-mph.

  • The New York Mets bullpen grades out as the 4th-best in Major League Baseball, via The Sharp Model.

Betting Trends

  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 78 games at home (+23.17 Units / 22% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 68 of their last 130 games (+12.20 Units / 9% ROI)

  • Manny Machado has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+8.25 Units / 14% ROI)