San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Matchup Preview - October 11th, 2022
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San Diego Padres Insights
The Sharp Model X projects Mike Clevinger to throw 68 pitches in this game (least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Austin Nola's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 91.9-mph average last year has fallen off to 88.4-mph.
The San Diego Padres bullpen profiles as the 7th-best in the league, via The Sharp Model.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
Julio Urias has a reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 7 opposite-handed batters in this matchup.
Max Muncy is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of San Diego (#2-worst on the slate).
Joey Gallo has a high pull rate on his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 9th-deepest RF fences today.
Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 66 of their last 108 games (+20.95 Units / 16% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.50 Units / 29% ROI)
Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 34 away games (+9.95 Units / 22% ROI)
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