San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Matchup Preview - October 11th, 2022


San Diego Padres Insights

  • The Sharp Model X projects Mike Clevinger to throw 68 pitches in this game (least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

  • Austin Nola's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 91.9-mph average last year has fallen off to 88.4-mph.

  • The San Diego Padres bullpen profiles as the 7th-best in the league, via The Sharp Model.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

  • Julio Urias has a reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 7 opposite-handed batters in this matchup.

  • Max Muncy is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of San Diego (#2-worst on the slate).

  • Joey Gallo has a high pull rate on his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 9th-deepest RF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 66 of their last 108 games (+20.95 Units / 16% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.50 Units / 29% ROI)

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 34 away games (+9.95 Units / 22% ROI)