San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Matchup Preview - August 5th, 2022


Left-hander Sean Manaea is expected to start today for San Diego, while right-hander Tony Gonsolin gets the nod at home for Los Angeles. Manaea enters this contest with a 4.25 ERA, backed up by a 4.37 FIP (which is a better measure of the things a pitcher can control). Gonsolin, meanwhile, has a 3.57 FIP underlying his 2.41 ERA. The last time Sean Manaea was on the bump, he recorded the win as the Padres defeated the Twins 3-2. He left allowing 2 earned runs and recording 7 strikeouts with 3 walks. Gonsolin's last start was against the Rockies, when he recorded the win as the Dodgers were victorious 7-3. Over 5 innings pitched, he allowed 3 earned runs with 5 hits. He also recorded 6 strikeouts with 1 walk.

San Diego Padres Insights

  • Sean Manaea has used his curveball 13.2% less often this year (2.7%) than he did last season (15.9%).

  • Trent Grisham has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.1-mph EV.

  • The San Diego Padres projected batting order ranks as the best on the slate.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

  • Tony Gonsolin has notched a 12.5% Swinging Strike% this year, ranking in the 81st percentile.

  • Max Muncy has been unlucky with his wOBA this year; his .284 figure is quite a bit lower than his .348 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen profiles as the 2nd-best in Major League Baseball, according to THE BAT.

Betting Trends

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 30 of their last 44 games (+15.20 Units / 29% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 45 of their last 85 games (+9.45 Units / 10% ROI)

  • Austin Barnes has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 24 games (+7.90 Units / 29% ROI)