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Rangers vs Diamondbacks Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - October 30th, 2023


The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to host the Texas Rangers at Chase Field on October 30, 2023, in a highly anticipated interleague matchup. Both teams are vying for a win in the third game of the series.

The Diamondbacks, as the home team, will look to make the most of their advantage. On the mound, they are projected to start right-handed pitcher Brandon Pfaadt. Pfaadt has had a tough season, with a 3-9 win/loss record and a 5.72 ERA. However, his 4.47 xFIP suggests that he has been unlucky and may perform better in the upcoming game.

The Rangers will counter with their ace, right-handed pitcher Max Scherzer. Scherzer is ranked as the 20th best starting pitcher in MLB according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings. He has started 27 games this year, with a 13-6 win/loss record and a 3.77 ERA. His 3.26 xERA indicates that he has the potential to perform even better than his current stats suggest.

Both teams have shown offensive prowess throughout the season. The Diamondbacks rank 17th in MLB in overall offensive performance, while the Rangers rank 3rd. However, the Diamondbacks have the advantage in stolen bases, ranking 3rd in the league. The Rangers, on the other hand, excel in batting average (2nd) and home runs (5th).

In terms of bullpen strength, the Diamondbacks have the 3rd best bullpen in MLB, according to our Power Rankings, while the Rangers rank 9th. This could play a crucial role in the outcome of the game.

Taking a closer look at individual performances, the Diamondbacks' best hitter this season has been undisclosed. However, over the last seven games, Tommy Pham has been their standout player, recording 6 hits, 4 runs, 2 home runs, and a .375 batting average with a 1.250 OPS. The Rangers' best hitter this season remains undisclosed, and their top performer over the last week is also unknown.

Considering the pitching matchup, Brandon Pfaadt's high-flyball tendencies could be exploited by the powerful Rangers offense, which ranks 5th in home runs this season. However, Pfaadt's low-walk rate could neutralize the Rangers' patient approach at the plate.

The game total for this matchup is set at 9.0 runs, indicating a potentially high-scoring contest. The Diamondbacks are listed at -110 on the moneyline, suggesting a 50% implied win probability, as are the Rangers. Both teams are evenly matched according to the betting markets.

Overall, this game promises an exciting showdown between two teams with different strengths. The Diamondbacks will rely on their home-field advantage and bullpen, while the Rangers will look to their potent offense and Scherzer's dominant pitching.

Rangers Insights

  • Max Scherzer projects as the 10th-best pitcher in baseball right now when assessing his strikeout ability, per the leading projection system (The Sharp Model).

  • Nathaniel Lowe is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Arizona (#2-best on the slate).

  • Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's game.

Diamondbacks Insights

  • Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.

  • Evan Longoria is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

  • The weakest projected lineup of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Betting Trends

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 95 games (+12.00 Units / 12% ROI)

  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Run Line in 93 of their last 167 games (+20.65 Units / 10% ROI)

  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.00 Units / 29% ROI)


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