Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Matchup Preview - March 30th, 2023

Mitch Keller (300th ranked SP via The Sharp Model) is projected to take the mound for Pirates as they battle the Reds and Hunter Greene (71st ranked SP) at Great American Ball Park. The quick scouting report on Keller: his main fastball is a four-seamer, which he uses 33.6% of the time. His primary out-pitch is a slider (22.2%). Meanwhile, Greene primarily throws a four-seamer fastball (53.8%) and his most-used secondary offering is his slider (40.9%). The Sharp Model X projects Keller for 2.7 earned runs and 5.0 strikeouts in this matchup. On the other side, Greene is forecasted for 2.2 earned runs and 6.7 strikeouts.

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Mitch Keller's fastball velocity has jumped 2.1 mph this year (95.3 mph) over where it was last year (93.2 mph).

• Extreme groundball bats like Ke'Bryan Hayes tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Greene.

• The Pittsburgh Pirates bullpen grades out as the worst in MLB, per The Sharp Model.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• The Sharp Model X expects Hunter Greene to be limited in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 85 pitches.

• Jonathan India has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 9.7% rate last season has decreased to 4.6% this year.

• Jonathan India has a high pull rate on his flyballs (38.4% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.