Sharp App: Sports Betting

Padres vs Giants Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - September 25th, 2023

In a National League West matchup scheduled to be played on September 25, 2023, the San Francisco Giants will host the San Diego Padres at Oracle Park. Both teams are currently in the middle of the pack in the NL West, with the Giants in 4th place and the Padres in 3rd. While both teams have been mathematically eliminated from winning the division, they still have pride and a desire to finish the season on a high note.

The Giants have had an average season with a record of 77-79. Their offense has struggled, ranking 24th in MLB and 21st in team batting average. However, their bullpen has been a bright spot, ranked as the 3rd best in the league according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings.

The Padres, on the other hand, have underperformed expectations this year. With the same record as the Giants, they have a talented offense that ranks 10th in MLB and 7th in team stolen bases. However, their bullpen is ranked 11th according to our Power Rankings.

This game will feature a pitching matchup between Logan Webb of the Giants and Blake Snell of the Padres. Webb, ranked as the 6th best starting pitcher in MLB according to our Power Rankings, has had a solid season with a 10-13 record and a 3.35 ERA. Snell, ranked 33rd, has been even better with a 14-9 record and an impressive 2.33 ERA.

Webb, a right-handed pitcher, is known for his control, while Snell, a left-handed pitcher, excels at striking out batters. The Giants' offense, with its high strikeout rate, could struggle against Snell's dominant pitching.

In terms of recent performance, the Giants' best hitter over the last 7 games has been LaMonte Wade Jr., while the Padres' standout has been Juan Soto. Both players have been productive, contributing multiple home runs and RBIs during that span.

According to the current odds, the Padres are slight favorites to win this game, with an implied win probability of 51%. However, given Webb's strong pitching and the Giants' solid bullpen, this game could be a close matchup.

Overall, while the Giants have been considered the underdogs by our Power Rankings, they have the potential to compete against the Padres, especially with Webb on the mound. As always, in baseball, anything can happen, and this game is shaping up to be an exciting battle between division rivals.

Padres Insights

  • Out of all SPs, Blake Snell's fastball spin rate of 2427 rpm grades out in the 84th percentile this year.

  • Ji-Man Choi has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

  • The best projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the San Diego Padres.

Giants Insights

  • Compared to average, Logan Webb has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an extra 7.1 adjusted pitches each outing.

  • Mitch Haniger has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph dropping to 82.3-mph over the last 7 days.

  • The San Francisco Giants bullpen profiles as the 3rd-best in the game, per the leading projection system (The Sharp Model).

Betting Trends

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 65 of their last 105 games (+21.07 Units / 17% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 71 of their last 139 games (+8.20 Units / 5% ROI)

  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 48% ROI)