New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Matchup Preview - August 3rd, 2022


The New York Mets enter the game as the 11th ranked team per THE BAT X's Power Rankings and will battle the 20th ranked Nationals at Nationals Park. The Mets rank 5th in MLB in batting average and will likely lean on that hitting in their attempt to win today. If the Nationals want to win they'll have to overcome their bullpen issues, which ranks 30th in MLB according to THE BAT.

New York Mets Insights

  • Chris Bassitt has been given an above-average leash this year, throwing 8.6 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starter.

  • Mark Canha has been lucky with his wOBA this year; his .335 figure is quite a bit higher than his .295 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

  • Projected catcher Tomas Nido projects as an elite pitch framer, per THE BAT projection system.

Washington Nationals Insights

  • It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Anibal Sanchez must realize this, because he has gone to his secondary pitches a lot since the start of last season: 68.7% of the time, grading out in the 94th percentile.

  • Cesar Hernandez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

  • The Washington Nationals bullpen grades out as the worst in MLB, according to THE BAT.

Betting Trends

  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 56 of their last 98 games (+15.00 Units / 14% ROI)

  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 101 games (+13.10 Units / 9% ROI)

  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+13.15 Units / 27% ROI)