New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Matchup Preview - September 21st, 2022
Right-hander Taijuan Walker is expected to start today for New York, while right-hander Adrian Houser gets the nod at home for Milwaukee. Walker enters this contest with a 3.42 ERA, backed up by a 3.71 FIP (which is a better measure of the things a pitcher can control). Houser, meanwhile, has a 4.18 FIP underlying his 4.85 ERA. The last time Taijuan Walker was on the bump, he recorded the win as the Mets defeated the Pirates 4-3. He left allowing 2 earned runs and recording 5 strikeouts with 0 walks. Houser's last start was against the Yankees, when the Brewers won 7-6. Over 3 innings pitched, he allowed 4 earned runs with 7 hits. He also recorded 1 strikeout with 4 walks.
New York Mets Insights
Taijuan Walker has averaged 17.9 outs per GS this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
Adrian Houser has relied on his slider 5.7% more often this year (13.3%) than he did last year (7.6%).
Tyrone Taylor has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 108.1-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 94.2-mph.
Today’s version of the Brewers projected lineup is weaker than usual, as their .279 The Sharp Model X wOBA is considerably below their .316 overall projected rate.
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 58 games at home (+10.95 Units / 17% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 54 away games (+5.85 Units / 10% ROI)
Max Scherzer has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.85 Units / 32% ROI)