New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Matchup Preview - March 30th, 2023

Right-hander Max Scherzer is expected to start today for New York, while right-hander Sandy Alcantara gets the nod at home for Miami. The last time Max Scherzer was on the bump, he suffered the loss as the Mets lost 1-7 against the Padres. He left allowing 7 earned runs and recording 4 strikeouts with 0 walks.

New York Mets Insights

• Max Scherzer is an extreme flyball pitcher (41.2% FB% per The Sharp Model projections) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #23 HR venue among all parks today.

• Mark Canha's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.8-mph EV last year has dropped off to 89.3-mph.

• The New York Mets bullpen projects as the 7th-worst in the majors, via The Sharp Model.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Sandy Alcantara has been lucky with his ERA this year; his 2.28 rate is quite a bit lower than his 3.07 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

• Extreme groundball batters like Jon Berti generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Scherzer.

• Avisail Garcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.