Sharp App: Sports Betting

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Matchup Preview - October 2nd, 2022

Pete Alonso and the Mets go head-to-head against Matt Olson and the Braves today. Over the last 7 days, Pete Alonso has provided the bulk of the offense for Mets. He's batted .350 with 6 runs, 8 RBIs, and 2 home runs. Meanwhile, it's been Matt Olson who has been hot for the Braves. Over the last week, he's batting .429 with 6 runs, 8 RBIs, and 4 home runs.

New York Mets Insights

  • It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Chris Bassitt has relied on his secondary pitches 8.5% more often this season (53.7%) than he did last season (45.2%).

  • Mark Canha's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 91.8-mph EV last season has dropped to 89.3-mph.

  • The New York Mets (19.7 K%, according to The Sharp Model X) project to have the least strikeout-heavy lineup today.

Atlanta Braves Insights

  • The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the worst on the slate.

  • William Contreras has been lucky with his wOBA this year; his .365 figure is quite a bit higher than his .317 Expected wOBA (based on The Sharp Model X's interpretation of Statcast data).

  • The Atlanta Braves bullpen projects as the 4th-best in the majors, via The Sharp Model.

Betting Trends

  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 80 of their last 116 games (+25.00 Units / 12% ROI)

  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 80 of their last 148 games (+11.75 Units / 7% ROI)

  • Austin Riley has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 59 games at home (+8.30 Units / 13% ROI)