New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves Matchup Preview - August 17th, 2022


New York's first baseman Pete Alonso looks to continue his strong season as he takes on Austin Riley and the Braves. This season Pete Alonso is batting .277 with 29 home runs, 66 runs, 97 RBIs, and 2 stolen bases. Today he's projected to bat 6th in the lineup with a THE BAT X projection of .260 Avg, .308 wOBA and .07 HRs. On the Braves side, Austin Riley has shined this year (.287 Avg, 30 HRs, 69 Rs, 74 RBIs, & 2 SBs). He's projected to bat 4th and THE BAT X projects his average performance today as a .338 wOBA, and .21 HRs.

New York Mets Insights

  • Max Scherzer's 2380 rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 79th percentile among starters.

  • Tyler Naquin has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.

  • The New York Mets projected lineup profiles as the 5th-best on the slate today.

Atlanta Braves Insights

  • Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Jake Odorizzi (39.3% FB% per THE BAT projections) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in New York's projected offense.

  • The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Eddie Rosario has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

  • The Atlanta Braves bullpen profiles as the 3rd-best in the league, via THE BAT.

Betting Trends

  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 80 games (+18.95 Units / 14% ROI)

  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 81 games (+14.50 Units / 11% ROI)

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 62 of his last 106 games (+18.30 Units / 15% ROI)