Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Matchup Preview - October 14th, 2022
Friday the Los Angeles Dodgers (1-1) will battle the San Diego Padres (1-1). Oddsmakers peg the Dodgers as the slight favorite with an implied win probablity of 53%, leaving the Padres with a 47% chance to record a win. Based on the current odds the Dodgers have an implied team total of 3.88 compared to 3.62 for the Padres.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
Tony Gonsolin was on point in his last outing and allowed 1 ER.
Miguel Vargas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (91% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Projected catcher Austin Barnes projects as an elite pitch framer, via The Sharp Model projection system.
San Diego Padres Insights
Blake Snell has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 7.0 more adjusted pitches-per-game than average.
Austin Nola's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 91.9-mph mark last year has dropped off to 88.4-mph.
The San Diego Padres bullpen grades out as the 7th-best in Major League Baseball, via The Sharp Model.
The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 40 of their last 73 games at home (+11.40 Units / 14% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 94 of their last 158 games (+24.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 60 games (+8.35 Units / 8% ROI)