Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants Matchup Preview - August 4th, 2022


Today's contest between the Giants and the Dodgers pits THE BAT's 13th ranked SP (Clayton Kershaw) against the 205th ranked SP (Jakob Junis). The rundown on Kershaw tells us that he leans on his four-seamer fastball 38.5% of the time and keeps hitters off balance with a slider (44.4%). Junis is a sinker guy (31.4%) who brings a slider as his most-trusted secondary offering. Advanced stats (namely, FIP) tell us that Kershaw deserves something like a 2.60 ERA, compared to his actual ERA of 2.66. On that front, Junis's ERA sits at 2.78 and his FIP at 3.75.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

  • Clayton Kershaw has averaged 17.4 outs per start this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

  • Hanser Alberto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

  • Joey Gallo has a high pull rate on his flyballs (41.2% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

San Francisco Giants Insights

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Jakob Junis in this game.

  • David Villar's average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 83.6-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 79-mph over the past two weeks.

  • Today’s version of the Giants projected offense is missing some of their usual firepower, as their .296 THE BAT X wOBA is considerably below their .310 overall projected rate.

Betting Trends

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 50 of their last 96 games (+11.95 Units / 11% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 62 of their last 103 games (+17.60 Units / 14% ROI)

  • Chris Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.35 Units / 56% ROI)