Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers Matchup Preview - September 22nd, 2022
The Angels are scheduled to start Michael Lorenzen (7-6, 4.74 ERA) against Rangers starting pitcher Martin Perez (12-6, 2.84 ERA) on Thursday. Michael Lorenzen recorded the win in his last outing, as the Angels beat the Mariners 8-7. He pitched 5 innings allowing 3 earned runs with 4 hits. He also recorded 6 strikeouts with 2 walks. The last time Martin Perez took the mound, he recorded a win as the Rangers defeated the Rays 4-3. He finished with 5.1 IP, 3 K, 1 BB, while allowing 3 earned runs on 9 hits. Today, Lorenzen projects for 5.47 innings pitched with 2.8 ER, 5.5 hits, 4.5 strikeouts, and 2 walks, according to THE BAT. Meanwhile, The Sharp Model projects Perez's average outcome to be 6.58 IP, 2.2 ER, 5.6 H, 6.2 strikeouts, and 1.8 walks.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
The Texas Rangers have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Michael Lorenzen in this matchup.
Matt Duffy's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 86.4-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 77.8-mph over the past two weeks.
Projected catcher Max Stassi profiles as an elite pitch framer, via The Sharp Model projection system.
Texas Rangers Insights
Martin Perez's 2052 rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 14th percentile among starting pitchers.
Corey Seager has been unlucky with his batting average this year; his .242 mark is quite a bit lower than his .287 Expected Batting Average (based on The Sharp Model X's interpretation of Statcast data).
The Texas Rangers bullpen projects as the 9th-worst in the game, per THE BAT.
The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games (+12.35 Units / 15% ROI)
The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.65 Units / 12% ROI)
Corey Seager has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+8.60 Units / 30% ROI)