Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Gaurdians Matchup Preview - October 5th, 2022

Right-hander Jonathan Heasley is expected to start today for Kansas City, while right-hander Aaron Civale gets the nod at home for Cleveland. Heasley enters this contest with a 5.00 ERA, backed up by a 5.79 FIP (which is a better measure of the things a pitcher can control). Civale, meanwhile, has a 3.79 FIP underlying his 5.04 ERA. The last time Jonathan Heasley was on the bump, he suffered the loss as the Royals lost 3-10 against the Tigers. He left allowing 4 earned runs and recording 1 strikeout with 1 walk. Civale's last start was against the Royals, when he recorded the win as the Guardians were victorious 6-3. Over 6 innings pitched, he allowed 2 earned runs with 3 hits. He also recorded 5 strikeouts with 0 walks.

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Jon Heasley’s fastball velocity over his last 3 games started (91.8 mph) has been significantly lower than than his seasonal rate (92.8 mph).

• Ryan O'Hearn has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

• Projected catcher Sebastian Rivero profiles as a weak pitch framer, via The Sharp Model projection system.

Cleveland Gaurdians Insights

• Will Brennan has been hot in recent games, posting a .376 wOBA in the last two weeks.

Betting Trends

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 67 away games (+10.75 Units / 14% ROI)

• Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)