Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Matchup Preview - October 31st, 2022

Editor

Houston Astros Insights

  • The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the best of all teams today.

  • Kyle Tucker is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of Philadelphia (#2-best of all teams on the slate).

  • The Houston Astros bullpen profiles as the 4th-best in MLB, per The Sharp Model.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

  • Noah Syndergaard has averaged 17.2 outs per start this year, checking in at the 80th percentile.

  • Rhys Hoskins has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 17% rate last year has fallen off to 11.7% this season.

  • Rhys Hoskins has a high pull rate on his flyballs (35.9% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 games at home (+14.85 Units / 23% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 97 of their last 154 games (+28.40 Units / 15% ROI)

  • Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+11.35 Units / 50% ROI)