Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Matchup Preview - November 1st, 2022


Houston Astros Insights

  • Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Lance McCullers Jr. has utilized his secondary offerings 9.6% more often this season (75.5%) than he did last year (65.9%).

  • Trey Mancini has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (72% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

  • The Houston Astros bullpen grades out as the 4th-best in the majors, per The Sharp Model.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

  • The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the best on the slate.

  • J.T. Realmuto has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last season's 94.8-mph EV.

  • Rhys Hoskins has a high pull rate on his flyballs (35.9% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 64 games at home (+13.80 Units / 13% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 95 of their last 151 games (+27.35 Units / 14% ROI)

  • Aaron Nola has hit the Strikeouts Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 24% ROI)