Dodgers vs Red Sox Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - August 25th, 2023
The Los Angeles Dodgers enter the game as the 9th ranked team per The Sharp Model X's Power Rankings and will battle the 3rd ranked Red Sox at Fenway Park. The Dodgers rank 2nd in MLB in home runs and will likely lean on that power in their attempt to win today. When the Red Sox have found success this year, it's been through their hitting ability. They rank 3rd in baseball in batting average.
Dodgers Insights
Lance Lynn's high utilization rate of his fastball (54.8% this year) is likely dampening his results, considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Typically, batters like Max Muncy who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Kutter Crawford.
Jason Heyward pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Red Sox Insights
Kutter Crawford's 2494-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 93rd percentile out of all SPs.
Trevor Story has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (62% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
The Boston Red Sox have been the 8th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (The Sharp Model X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future
Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in their last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 91% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 65 of their last 116 games (+16.80 Units / 12% ROI)
James Outman has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 23 away games (+11.00 Units / 48% ROI)