Diamondbacks vs Rangers Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - October 27th, 2023
On October 27, 2023, the Texas Rangers will face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Globe Life Field. This interleague matchup marks the first game in the series between these two teams. The Rangers, as the home team, will be looking to build on their recent victory, while the Diamondbacks aim to continue their winning streak.
The Rangers are projected to start right-handed pitcher Nathan Eovaldi, who has been above average this season according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings. Eovaldi has a solid win/loss record of 12-5 and an ERA of 3.63. However, his peripheral indicator suggests that he has been lucky this year and may perform worse going forward.
On the other side, the Diamondbacks are projected to start right-handed pitcher Zac Gallen, who has been great this season according to our Power Rankings. Gallen has a win/loss record of 17-9 and an impressive ERA of 3.47. Similar to Eovaldi, his peripheral indicator suggests that he has been lucky and may regress in future performances.
The Rangers offense ranks as the third-best in MLB, showcasing their talent and ability to score runs. They excel in team batting average and home runs but struggle in stolen bases. The Diamondbacks offense, ranked 17th, has been average this season, with a balanced performance in team batting average and home runs, but a strong showing in stolen bases.
In their last game, the Rangers defeated the Houston Astros by a score of 11-4. They showcased their offensive prowess, demonstrating why they rank highly in several offensive categories. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks secured a 4-2 victory over the Philadelphia Phillies, with their offense supported by strong pitching from Gallen.
According to the current odds, the Rangers are the favorites with an implied win probability of 61%. However, The Sharp Model X projects a closer game, giving the Diamondbacks a win probability of 45% and suggesting potential value in betting on the underdog.
Diamondbacks Insights
The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the best among every team playing today.
Evan Longoria has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
The worst projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Rangers Insights
Nathan Eovaldi has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording 4.5 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average pitcher.
Betting Trends
The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 89 of their last 158 games (+26.76 Units / 12% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 76 of their last 140 games (+14.85 Units / 10% ROI)
Christian Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+10.00 Units / 31% ROI)