Sharp App: Sports Betting

Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals Matchup Preview - May 19th, 2023

The Tigers are scheduled to start Matthew Boyd (2-3, 6.47 ERA) against Nationals starting pitcher Jake Irvin (1-1, 4.11 ERA) on Friday. Matthew Boyd suffered a loss in his last outing, as the Tigers lost to the Mariners 2-9. He pitched 1.1 innings allowing 5 earned runs with 5 hits. He also recorded 1 strikeout with 4 walks. The last time Jake Irvin took the mound, he recorded a loss as the Nationals got beat by the Mets 2-8. He finished with 4.2 IP, 6 K, 1 BB, while allowing 6 earned runs on 6 hits. Today, Boyd projects for 6.09 innings pitched with 2.8 ER, 5.7 hits, 5.2 strikeouts, and 1.5 walks, according to The Sharp Model. Meanwhile, The Sharp Model projects Irvin's average outcome to be 5.32 IP, 2.7 ER, 5.2 H, 4.3 strikeouts, and 1.5 walks.

Detroit Tigers Insights

  • The Washington Nationals have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Boyd in this matchup, which is especially troublesome given his huge platoon split.

  • In terms of his batting average, Zach McKinstry has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .226 figure falls considerably below The Sharp Model X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .262.

  • Matt Vierling has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Washington Nationals Insights

  • Jake Irvin allowed a whopping 6 earned runs in his last GS.

  • Alex Call has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (74% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

  • The Washington Nationals projected batting order profiles as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Betting Trends

  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Run Line in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.00 Units / 23% ROI)

  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 38 games (+9.85 Units / 25% ROI)

  • Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.05 Units / 39% ROI)