Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Matchup Preview - September 21st, 2022


The Guardians are scheduled to start Triston McKenzie (10-11, 3.08 ERA) against White Sox starting pitcher Lance Lynn (7-5, 3.99 ERA) on Wednesday. In Triston McKenzie's last outing, the Guardians won 4-3 against the Twins. He pitched 7 innings allowing 3 earned runs with 7 hits. He also recorded 8 strikeouts with 0 walks. The last time Lance Lynn took the mound, he recorded a win as the White Sox defeated the Guardians 8-2. He finished with 6.1 IP, 6 K, 1 BB, while allowing 2 earned runs on 6 hits. Today, McKenzie projects for 5.30 innings pitched with 2.8 ER, 5.0 hits, 5.2 strikeouts, and 1.7 walks, according to THE BAT. Meanwhile, The Sharp Model projects Lynn's average outcome to be 6.24 IP, 2.7 ER, 5.8 H, 5.2 strikeouts, and 1.3 walks.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

  • Triston McKenzie is an extreme flyball pitcher (42% FB% per The Sharp Model projections) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #2 HR venue among all parks in this game.

  • Tyler Freeman has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 87.4-mph figure.

Chicago White Sox Insights

  • Lance Lynn has used his cutter 7.7% less often this season (23.3%) than he did last season (31%).

  • Leury Garcia is an extreme groundball batter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Cleveland (#3-best on the slate today).

  • Andrew Vaughn has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 51 games at home (+4.15 Units / 7% ROI)

  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 34 away games (+14.10 Units / 36% ROI)

  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 31 games (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)