Cleveland Gaurdians vs Seattle Mariners Matchup Preview - March 30th, 2023

Today's contest between the Mariners and the Guardians pits The Sharp Model's 34th ranked SP (Shane Bieber) against the 20th ranked SP (Luis Castillo). The rundown on Bieber tells us that he leans on his four-seamer fastball 34.5% of the time and keeps hitters off balance with a slider (28.9%). Castillo is a four-seam guy (32.9%) who brings a changeup as his most-trusted secondary offering.

Cleveland Gaurdians Insights

• Shane Bieber has utilized his cut-fastball 13.5% more often this season (16.4%) than he did last season (2.9%).

• Extreme groundball bats like Gabriel Arias are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Castillo.

• Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (47.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Luis Castillo's 96.1 mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 96th percentile among starting pitchers.

• Eugenio Suarez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (24.6°) is considerably higher than his 18.4° angle last season.

• Projected catcher Cal Raleigh projects as an elite pitch framer, via The Sharp Model projection system.

Betting Trends

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+16.20 Units / 22% ROI)

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 95 of their last 166 games (+22.40 Units / 11% ROI)

• Jake Lamb has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)