Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals Matchup Preview - September 16th, 2022

Today's contest between the Cardinals and the Reds pits THE BAT's 291st ranked SP (Raynel Espinal) against the 100th ranked SP (Jack Flaherty). Flaherty is a four-seam guy (48.0%) who brings a slider as his most-trusted secondary offering. Advanced stats (namely, FIP) tell us that Espinal deserves something like a 1.40 ERA, compared to his actual ERA of 3.86. On that front, Flaherty's ERA sits at 4.50 and his FIP at 6.61.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Raynel Espinal is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.8% FB% according to THE BAT projections) and has the benefit of pitching in the #24 HR venue in MLB today.

• Matt Reynolds is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of St. Louis (#2-best of all teams on the slate today).

• The Cincinnati Reds projected lineup projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Jack Flaherty will hold the platoon advantage against 7 opposing batters today.

• Tyler O'Neill has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Betting Trends

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 74 games at home (+6.25 Units / 7% ROI)

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 108 games (+8.95 Units / 7% ROI)

• Kyle Farmer has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)