Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates Matchup Preview - April 9th, 2023

Michael Kopech (167th ranked SP via The Sharp Model) is projected to take the mound for White Sox as they battle the Pirates and Johan Oviedo (214th ranked SP) at PNC Park. The quick scouting report on Kopech: his main fastball is a four-seamer, which he uses 61.8% of the time. His primary out-pitch is a slider (26.4%). Meanwhile, Oviedo primarily throws a four-seamer fastball (43.7%) and his most-used secondary offering is his slider (39.0%). The Sharp Model X projects Kopech for 2.7 earned runs and 4.9 strikeouts in this matchup. On the other side, Oviedo is forecasted for 2.7 earned runs and 4.1 strikeouts.

Chicago White Sox Insights

  • Michael Kopech's 2529 rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 100th percentile among starting pitchers.

  • Jake Burger's 15.3% Barrel% grades out in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.

  • Projected catcher Yasmani Grandal projects as a good pitch framer, per The Sharp Model projection system.

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

  • Johan Oviedo has averaged 82.8 adjusted pitches per game per started since the start of last season, ranking in the 18th percentile.

  • Oneil Cruz's speed has dropped off this season. His 29.9 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.05 ft/sec now.

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates bullpen profiles as the 4th-worst in the majors, via The Sharp Model.

Betting Trends

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 70 games at home (+14.40 Units / 17% ROI)

  • Romy Gonzalez has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)