Chicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins Matchup Preview - September 19th, 2022


Monday evening the Chicago Cubs battle against the Miami Marlins at LoanDepot Park. The Cubs offense will be led by Ian Happ, who ranks as the #122nd-best hitter in baseball according to THE BAT X. Given Ian Happ's profile and today's matchup specifics, THE BAT X expects him to average a .311 wOBA, .225 AVG, and .12 HRs. On the other side, Garrett Cooper (THE BAT X's #82nd hitter in MLB) will bolster the Marlins lineup. He projects for a .341 wOBA, .282 AVG, and .10 HRs.

Chicago Cubs Insights

  • Wade Miley has used his cutter 5.4% less often this year (41.2%) than he did last year (46.6%).

  • Zach McKinstry has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

  • The Chicago Cubs bullpen grades out as the 5th-worst in the game, per THE BAT.

Miami Marlins Insights

  • Edward Cabrera’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 games started (2238 rpm) has been quite a bit lower than than his seasonal rate (2290 rpm).

  • The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Wendle stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

  • Jon Berti has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.3%) and will be challenged by the game's 4th-deepest RF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 25% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 away games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)

  • Nick Madrigal has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)