Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds Matchup Preview - September 21st, 2022


The Boston Red Sox enter the game as the 26th ranked team per The Sharp Model X's Power Rankings and will battle the 24th ranked Reds at Great American Ball Park. The Red Sox rank 3rd in MLB in batting average and will likely lean on that hitting in their attempt to win today. If the Reds want to win they'll have to overcome their bullpen issues, which ranks 27th in MLB according to THE BAT.

Boston Red Sox Insights

  • Connor Seabold has a reverse platoon split and has the misfortune of facing 7 same-handed batters in this matchup.

  • The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

  • Projected catcher Reese McGuire grades out as an elite pitch framer, per The Sharp Model projection system.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

  • Chase Anderson was in good form in his last game started and allowed 1 ER.

  • Extreme flyball bats like Aristides Aquino usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Connor Seabold.

  • The Cincinnati Reds bullpen grades out as the 2nd-worst in the majors, per THE BAT.

Betting Trends

  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 52 games at home (+5.95 Units / 10% ROI)

  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.40 Units / 21% ROI)

  • Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.05 Units / 60% ROI)