Boston Red Sox @ Houston Astros Matchup Preview - August 3rd, 2022

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Boston Red Sox Insights

  • Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Rich Hill has utilized his non-fastballs 11.9% more often this year (62.3%) than he did last season (50.4%).

  • The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Houston Astros Insights

  • Jose Urquidy's fastball velocity has risen 1.1 mph this season (93.1 mph) over where it was last year (92 mph).

  • Yordan Alvarez has been lucky this year, notching a .440 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .389 — a .051 deviation.

  • Houston's 89.2-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season ranks among the best in the league: #7 overall.

Betting Trends

  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 90 games (+18.70 Units / 19% ROI)

  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 75 games (+7.20 Units / 8% ROI)

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.25 Units / 52% ROI)