Boston Red Sox @ Houston Astros Matchup Preview - August 3rd, 2022
Boston Red Sox Insights
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Rich Hill has utilized his non-fastballs 11.9% more often this year (62.3%) than he did last season (50.4%).
The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Houston Astros Insights
Jose Urquidy's fastball velocity has risen 1.1 mph this season (93.1 mph) over where it was last year (92 mph).
Yordan Alvarez has been lucky this year, notching a .440 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .389 — a .051 deviation.
Houston's 89.2-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season ranks among the best in the league: #7 overall.
Betting Trends
The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 90 games (+18.70 Units / 19% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 75 games (+7.20 Units / 8% ROI)
Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.25 Units / 52% ROI)