Sharp App: Sports Betting

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Matchup Preview - April 1st, 2023

The Baltimore Orioles will faceoff in a day game against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The Orioles offense will be led by Adley Rutschman, who ranks as the #37th-best hitter in baseball according to The Sharp Model X. Given Adley Rutschman's profile and today's matchup specifics, The Sharp Model X expects him to average a .340 wOBA, .260 AVG, and .14 HRs. On the other side, Alex Verdugo (The Sharp Model X's #19th hitter in MLB) will bolster the Red Sox lineup. He projects for a .400 wOBA, .294 AVG, and .26 HRs.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

  • The Sharp Model X projects Dean Kremer to throw 75 pitches in this matchup (3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

  • Adam Frazier's 1.5% Barrel% grades out in the 2nd percentile since the start of last season.

  • Anthony Santander has a high pull rate on his flyballs (37.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

Boston Red Sox Insights

  • The Baltimore Orioles have 7 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Chris Sale today, which is especially problematic given his huge platoon split.

  • Rafael Devers's 93-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in the league since the start of last season: 98th percentile.

  • The Boston Red Sox (19.9 K%, according to The Sharp Model X) project to have the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup today.

Betting Trends

  • Tyler Nevin has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)