Sharp App: Sports Betting

Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays Matchup Preview - September 16th, 2022

Jordan Lyles (265th ranked SP via THE BAT) is projected to take the mound for Orioles as they battle the Blue Jays and Julian Merryweather (191st ranked SP) at Rogers Centre. The quick scouting report on Lyles: his main fastball is a four-seamer, which he uses 33.1% of the time. His primary out-pitch is a slider (24.9%). THE BAT X projects Lyles for 3.5 earned runs and 3.7 strikeouts in this matchup. On the other side, Merryweather is forecasted for .7 earned runs and 1.5 strikeouts.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

  • Jordan Lyles has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 7.4 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average hurler.

  • Terrin Vavra has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

  • Anthony Santander has a high pull rate on his flyballs (37.9% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 95-mph mark last year has dropped to 92.7-mph.

  • The Toronto Blue Jays projected lineup profiles as the 3rd-best of the day.

Betting Trends

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games at home (+3.95 Units / 12% ROI)

  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 59 away games (+16.95 Units / 28% ROI)

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 26 games at home (+9.15 Units / 24% ROI)