Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays Matchup Preview - August 16th, 2022


Dean Kremer (197th ranked SP via THE BAT) is projected to take the mound for Orioles as they battle the Blue Jays and Alek Manoah (30th ranked SP) at Rogers Centre. The quick scouting report on Kremer: his main fastball is a four-seamer, which he uses 44.5% of the time. His primary out-pitch is a cut-fastball (30.7%). Meanwhile, Manoah primarily throws a four-seamer fastball (36.8%) and his most-used secondary offering is his slider (28.0%). THE BAT X projects Kremer for 3.0 earned runs and 3.4 strikeouts in this matchup. On the other side, Manoah is forecasted for 2.4 earned runs and 5.5 strikeouts.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

  • It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Dean Kremer has utilized his secondary pitches 11.2% more often this year (55.5%) than he did last season (44.3%).

  • Austin Hays has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

  • Baltimore's 91.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs ranks them as the #23 team in the majors since the start of last season by this metric.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

  • The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the worst on the slate.

  • Teoscar Hernandez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 100.2-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 93-mph mark.

  • Bo Bichette has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and will be challenged by the game's 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.10 Units / 40% ROI)

  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 72 of their last 110 games (+26.65 Units / 18% ROI)

  • Danny Jansen has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 65% ROI)