Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Matchup Preview - October 14th, 2022
The Atlanta Braves will faceoff in a day game against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The Braves offense will be led by Austin Riley, who ranks as the #9th-best hitter in baseball according to The Sharp Model X. Given Austin Riley's profile and today's matchup specifics, The Sharp Model X expects him to average a .319 wOBA, .241 AVG, and .20 HRs. On the other side, Kyle Schwarber (The Sharp Model X's #5th hitter in MLB) will bolster the Phillies lineup. He projects for a .353 wOBA, .248 AVG, and .19 HRs.
Atlanta Braves Insights
It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Spencer Strider has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 65.8% of the time, ranking in the 99th percentile.
Robbie Grossman has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.
The Atlanta Braves bullpen projects as the 2nd-best in MLB, via The Sharp Model.
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
Aaron Nola's fastball spin rate has increased 104 rpm this season (2302 rpm) over where it was last season (2198 rpm).
J.T. Realmuto has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last year's 94.8-mph figure.
Rhys Hoskins has a high pull rate on his flyballs (35.9% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 108 games (+18.33 Units / 15% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 83 of their last 123 games (+22.45 Units / 10% ROI)
Ozzie Albies has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 59 games (+10.35 Units / 15% ROI)